Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.259083 0.278794 0.299714 0.323644 0.350349 0.379339 0.413328
2025-12-07 0.224152 0.252062 0.283609 0.322229 0.368671 0.423294 0.493266
2025-12-14 0.202404 0.234437 0.272237 0.320778 0.382426 0.459488 0.565401
2025-12-21 0.184045 0.217814 0.258945 0.313706 0.386256 0.481461 0.620148
2025-12-28 0.175551 0.211943 0.257599 0.320511 0.407367 0.527018 0.712113
2026-01-04 0.167416 0.205540 0.254585 0.324208 0.423883 0.567363 0.802128
2026-01-11 0.159278 0.198336 0.249668 0.324432 0.434942 0.600428 0.885632
2026-01-18 0.150177 0.189134 0.241222 0.318692 0.436272 0.618319 0.946512
2026-01-25 0.141108 0.179371 0.231261 0.309793 0.431679 0.625867 0.990051
2026-02-01 0.134028 0.171909 0.223994 0.304182 0.431427 0.640083 1.047642
2026-02-08 0.127263 0.164507 0.216334 0.297331 0.428412 0.649006 1.096283
2026-02-15 0.121789 0.158640 0.210528 0.292840 0.428706 0.663473 1.158329
2026-02-22 0.118949 0.156516 0.210252 0.297221 0.444681 0.708954 1.297502
2026-03-01 0.114799 0.152311 0.206667 0.296117 0.451247 0.738093 1.408588
2026-03-08 0.110939 0.148331 0.203170 0.294844 0.457297 0.766930 1.526398
2026-03-15 0.106160 0.142761 0.196929 0.288561 0.453629 0.775708 1.596368
2026-03-22 0.104648 0.141986 0.198029 0.294610 0.473178 0.834980 1.816695
2026-03-29 0.102601 0.140292 0.197564 0.297892 0.487752 0.885855 2.031846
2026-04-05 0.100017 0.137654 0.195440 0.298091 0.496275 0.924504 2.224716
2026-04-12 0.096489 0.133412 0.190524 0.292993 0.493705 0.937027 2.337933
2026-04-19 0.092591 0.128461 0.184246 0.285081 0.484740 0.933122 2.394295
2026-04-26 0.089492 0.124661 0.179708 0.280087 0.481417 0.942667 2.503437
2026-05-03 0.086342 0.120678 0.174715 0.273983 0.475278 0.944416 2.584995